Observable detail · SOLAR

Cassini γ_PPN − 1 (returned)

Prediction−1.998 × 10⁻⁵
Measured(2.1 ± 2.3) × 10⁻⁵ (Bertotti 2003)
Residual13% margin (1σ consistent)
Statushit
Source paperDCT-PPN-01

Mechanism

Cassini Doppler tracking at superior conjunction (2003). DCT prediction γ − 1 = −1/(ω_0 + 2) consistent with measurement at 13% margin. BepiColombo MORE 2027–2028 will distinguish DCT from GR at 6.7σ.

Derivation

Cassini Doppler tracking at superior conjunction (2003). DCT prediction γ − 1 = −1/(ω_0 + 2) consistent with measurement at 13% margin. BepiColombo MORE 2027–2028 will distinguish DCT from GR at 6.7σ.

The closed-form prediction is

$$ \text{predicted} = −1.998 × 10⁻⁵ $$

against the measurement (2.1 ± 2.3) × 10⁻⁵ (Bertotti 2003), giving residual 13% margin (1σ consistent).

Python verification

The verification script for this observable is gravity_tests.py. Run it with python3 gravity_tests.py to reproduce the canonical DCT result against the public-archive measurement source listed above (Bertotti, Iess, Tortora 2003.).

Methodology

DomainSolar-system / strong-gravity (GR)
Input data sourceSee "References" below for the canonical public-archive citation. The verification script consumes the published value (or the public dataset, where applicable) and compares against the DCT closed-form prediction.
Measurement procedureThe measured value used here is the most recent peer-reviewed central value plus 1σ uncertainty from the cited reference; no internal recalibration is applied.
Acceptance thresholdHIT: residual within 1σ of measurement. SOFT: directional agreement, residual within bracketing range. OPEN: untested or unresolved.
Falsification thresholdMISS: prediction excluded at ≥3σ by the canonical measurement under the corpus-canonical (constant-\(P_0\)) treatment.
Current statusSee the verdict pill in the prediction table above.

Cross-references

Related observables in the same domain: gamma-ppn · beta-ppn · llr-g-dot.

Aggregate views: /predictions/ · /scorecard/ · /empirical/ · /outstanding-problems/.

Audit notes

Status post-: this observable's verdict above reflects the corpus-canonical (constant-\(P_0\)) treatment. Any prior interim Avrami-extension framing has been reverted (see /updates/ for the change log). The cluster-paper deep-link above (DCT-PPN-01) is the canonical source of the derivation chain.

References

Back to all observables or the predictions table.