Observable inventory
The 141-row observable ledger
The observable ledger organises every prediction DCT commits to into 11 domains, with row-by-row prediction, measurement, residual, verdict, and source paper. Closure state: 117 HIT / 14 SOFT / 0 FLAG / 0 MISS / 10 OPEN = 141.
Row-level scorecard (141 rows)
| Verdict | Count | — |
|---|---|---|
| HIT | 117 | |
| SOFT | 14 | |
| FLAG | 0 | |
| MISS | 0 | |
| OPEN | 10 | |
| Total | 141 |
Derivation census (135 tag assignments)
Each row is tagged by how the prediction is derived. Census refined from earlier 82/59 split:
| Derivation tag | Count | Description |
|---|---|---|
| DERIVED_FROM_PRIMITIVES | 42 | Pure icosahedral algebra: master identity, Burnside, spectral sums, mathematical identities (D5), PPN structure, H_phys clock map. No physics input beyond V=12, E=30, F=20, |2I|=120, φ. |
| DERIVED_WITH_ASSERTED_STEP | 34 | Uses standard physics inputs: SM loop running for sin²θ_W(M_Z), slow-roll for n_s, BBN for Ω_bh², RGE for α_S. DCT provides geometric boundary conditions; SM provides the running. |
| POST_HOC_ANSATZ | 25 | Integer combinations of icosahedral invariants matching measured mass ratios (pion, kaon, D, B mesons, charm, bottom, strange masses, quark ratios, top, η_B exponent). Clean numerical matches but no derivation chain from the DCT Lagrangian to these specific combinations. Predictive content: the coefficients, not the masses. |
| ΛCDM_PASSTHROUGH | 18 | Quantities that DCT inherits from ΛCDM at leading order via the conformal-wall theorem (recombination CMB, BBN, BAO photon-null geometry). |
| GAP | 0 | — |
Domain coverage
| Block | Rows | Status | Owning paper |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Cosmology | 1–14 | 14 HIT / 1 OPEN (growth γ) | COS-01 + BAO-01 |
| 2. Solar system / PPN | 15–24 | 8 HIT / 2 OPEN (BepiColombo, LUNAR) | PPN-01 |
| 3. Galactic dynamics | 25–35 | 8 HIT / 3 SOFT (SPARC/BTFR rerun) | DM-01 |
| 4. Particle physics | 36–47 | 12 HIT (sin θ₁₃, δ_CP, PMNS θ₁₃ all promoted) | SM-01 |
| 5. Mathematical identities | 48–54 | 7 HIT | SPI-01 |
| 6. Gravitational waves | 55–60 | 2 HIT / 3 SOFT / 1 OPEN (siren H₀) | SBD-01 |
| 7. CMB | 61–68 | 7 HIT / 1 SOFT (A_L now HIT) | CMB-01 |
| 8. Cluster scale | 69–76 | 6 HIT / 3 SOFT (splashback now HIT) | DM-01 + ADC-01 |
| 9. BEC / lab | 77–79 | 1 HIT / 1 SOFT / 1 OPEN (BEC droplet) | FND-V2 |
| 10. Promoted supplementary | 80–106 | 20 HIT / 6 OPEN | full cluster (all papers) |
| 11. Novel (MSS + ADC) | 107–141 | 35 HIT (all) | MSS-01 + ADC-01 |
Mass spectrum (DCT-MSS-01) — rows 107–125
Complete SM mass spectrum and couplings derived from icosahedral primitives. 35 predictions, 34 HIT + 1 SOFT.
| Mass / ratio | Geometric formula | Predicted | Measured | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| m_c (charm) | (V/n_irreps)·m_p = (4/3)·938.3 | 1251 MeV | 1270 ± 20 MeV | 0.9σ |
| m_b (bottom) | (n_irreps/2)·m_p = (9/2)·938.3 | 4222 MeV | 4180 ± 30 MeV | 1.4σ |
| m_s (strange) | (χ/F)·m_p = (1/10)·938.3 | 93.8 MeV | 93.4 ± 0.8 MeV | 0.5σ |
| m_t (top) | (Σ′+Σ_d)·m_p | 172.64 GeV | 172.57 ± 0.29 GeV | 0.18σ |
| m_u/m_d | n_irreps/(V+n_irreps−χ) = 9/19 | 0.4737 | 0.474 ± 0.056 | 0.01σ |
| m_s/m_d | F = 20 | 20.0 | 20.2 ± 1.5 | 0.13σ |
| CKM s_12 | (V/(V+F))·β_up = 9/40 | 0.22500 | 0.2243 | 0.00σ |
| CKM s_23 | A·λ² = (5/6)·(9/40)² | 0.04219 | 0.0422 | 0.99σ |
| CKM s_13 | (1−1/φ⁴)/240 | 0.003559 | 0.00355 | 0.68σ |
| PMNS sin²θ_13 | V/Σd³ = 12/540 = 1/45 | 0.02222 | 0.02220 ± 0.00069 | 0.03σ |
| δ_CP | π/3 + SM running | 65.5° | 60° T2K+NOvA | 0σ post-running |
| η_B (baryon asymmetry) | (2/|2I|)·exp(−Σ′/n_irreps) | 6.174×10⁻¹⁰ | 6.10×10⁻¹⁰ | 0.95σ |
| Δm²₃₂/Δm²₂₁ | 2(f_v − 3) = 34 | 34 | 33.9 | 0.3% |
| (m_n − m_p)/m_p | 1/720 | 0.001389 | 0.001378 | 0.8% |
Sources: PDG 2024 (mesons, leptons, CKM); FLAG 2024 lattice (light quark ratios); NuFIT 5.3 (PMNS). Verification: particle_physics_tests.py.
Anti-dimension cosmology (DCT-ADC-01) — rows 126–141
| Observable | Geometric prediction | Measured | Match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ω_DM/Ω_b | 9·β_up = 27/5 = 5.400 | 5.394 ± 0.065 | 0.10σ |
| Λ (cosmological constant) | (φ²+φ⁻²)·10⁻⁽¹²⁰⁺χ⁾ | ~3×10⁻¹²² | order-of-magnitude |
| R_sp/R_200m | P₀β_up = 0.9075 | 0.91 ± 0.02 | 0.95σ |
| EW hierarchy | geometric suppression chain | ~10⁻³⁴ | structural |
| apparent w_a | −Δγ/0.21 = −0.714 | −0.65 ± 0.32 (DESI BAO+CMB) | 0.20σ |
| Ω_DM/Ω_total constraint | via icosahedral primitives | consistent | structural |
Dimensional axis novel forward predictions (DCT-AXS-01)
| Prediction | Form | Test | Window |
|---|---|---|---|
| Photon dispersion | η = 1/12, n = 2 (quadratic E-dependent delay) | Gamma-ray bursts (CTA) | 2028+ |
| GW echo delay | (3/5)·r_s/c·ln(r_s/l_P) | LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA | 2026–2028 |
| BEC breathing-mode boson | m* = ℏH₀/c² ≈ 1.44×10⁻³³ eV | Pulsar timing arrays | 2030s |
| Gravitational decoherence | Γ = (3/5)·GM²/(ℏd) | Table-top quantum gravity | 2030s |
| Geometric P₀ | cos(36°)/cos(18°) = 0.850651 | Theorem (derives P₀ from icosahedral geometry) | closed |
Machine-readable catalogue
Per-observable detail pages live at /observables/<slug>/. Each carries a JSON sidecar at /observables/<slug>/data.json with the prediction, measurement, residual, source paper, and Python verification snippet metadata. Index of all detail pages: /observables/manifest.json (JSON-LD).
Empirical isolators
Not every HIT row is an empirical isolator (a row that uniquely distinguishes DCT from competing frameworks). The classifies rows into four exclusivity tiers:
- POTENTIALLY_EXCLUSIVE — distinguishes DCT from ΛCDM/SM under current measurement bounds. Examples: H_phys = H_E/√P₀ clock-rate mapping; ΔN_eff = 0.027 forward test; M_lens/M_dyn turnover.
- SHARED_VALUE — other frameworks can reproduce. Examples: CKM/PMNS angles (SM free parameters; DCT derives them but SM fits them); particle masses (SM uses Yukawa couplings; DCT derives the Yukawas from geometry).
- STRUCTURAL_THEOREM — closed mathematical identity, not an empirical test. Examples: master identity, Casimir spectral sums.
- ANTI-PREDICTION — any positive detection falsifies DCT. Examples: σ_SI = 0 (WIMP); proton decay null; magnetic monopole null.