Observable detail · SPECTRAL

BEC reality test (gravity + quantum + time)

Predictionlog₁₀(BF) = +4.34 across 5 sub-tests
Measuredall 5 sub-tests pass
Residualstrong evidence (Kass-Raftery)
Statushit
Source paperDCT-FND-V2 · 10.5281/zenodo.20032839

Mechanism

Hypothesise m_BEC = ħH_0/c² ≈ 1.44×10⁻³³ eV/c². Extract chemical potential μ independently from gravity (MOND scale a_† + healing length) and from time (Hubble timescale + Avrami transition). Real BEC requires c_s²=μ/m_BEC, ξ=ħ/√(2mμ), a_†=c_s²/ξ. Five sub-tests: (1) two-μ agreement (factor 3.5×, log_BF=+1.71); (2) BEC formation = Hubble time (ratio 3.17, log_BF=+1.74); (3) sound speed subluminal (c_s=0.56c, log_BF=+0.30); (4) condensate depth n·ξ³ strong (5.2×10¹⁰³, log_BF=+0.30); (5) coupling order (g(P)=0.020, log_BF=+0.30). Total log₁₀(BF) = +4.34.

Derivation

Hypothesise m_BEC = ħH_0/c² ≈ 1.44×10⁻³³ eV/c². Extract chemical potential μ independently from gravity (MOND scale a_† + healing length) and from time (Hubble timescale + Avrami transition). Real BEC requires c_s²=μ/m_BEC, ξ=ħ/√(2mμ), a_†=c_s²/ξ. Five sub-tests: (1) two-μ agreement (factor 3.5×, log_BF=+1.71); (2) BEC formation = Hubble time (ratio 3.17, log_BF=+1.74); (3) sound speed subluminal (c_s=0.56c, log_BF=+0.30); (4) condensate depth n·ξ³ strong (5.2×10¹⁰³, log_BF=+0.30); (5) coupling order (g(P)=0.020, log_BF=+0.30). Total log₁₀(BF) = +4.34.

The closed-form prediction is

$$ \text{predicted} = log₁₀(BF) = +4.34 across 5 sub-tests $$

against the measurement all 5 sub-tests pass, giving residual strong evidence (Kass-Raftery).

Python verification

The verification script for this observable is bec_reality_test_v3.py. Run it with python3 bec_reality_test_v3.py to reproduce the canonical DCT result against the public-archive measurement source listed above (Combined gravity-domain (SPARC + MOND) + quantum-domain (BEC consistency) + time-domain (Avrami + Hubble) public-archive analysis.).

Methodology

DomainBEC / vacuum reality test (BEC)
Input data sourceSee "References" below for the canonical public-archive citation. The verification script consumes the published value (or the public dataset, where applicable) and compares against the DCT closed-form prediction.
Measurement procedureThe measured value used here is the most recent peer-reviewed central value plus 1σ uncertainty from the cited reference; no internal recalibration is applied.
Acceptance thresholdHIT: residual within 1σ of measurement. SOFT: directional agreement, residual within bracketing range. OPEN: untested or unresolved.
Falsification thresholdMISS: prediction excluded at ≥3σ by the canonical measurement under the corpus-canonical (constant-\(P_0\)) treatment.
Current statusSee the verdict pill in the prediction table above.

Cross-references

Related observables in the same domain: gp-boson-mass · t-osc.

Aggregate views: /predictions/ · /scorecard/ · /empirical/ · /outstanding-problems/.

Audit notes

Status post-: this observable's verdict above reflects the corpus-canonical (constant-\(P_0\)) treatment. Any prior interim Avrami-extension framing has been reverted (see /updates/ for the change log). The cluster-paper deep-link above (DCT-FND-V2) is the canonical source of the derivation chain.

References

Back to all observables or the predictions table.